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A Case for Having Babies

Consider this. Between 1965 and 1984 (Gen X) there were about sixty-nine million babies born in the USA. Between 1945 and 1964 (Boomers) there were about seventy-eight million born or about nine million more. This eleven percent differential is playing havoc with consumer spending and believe it or not has the potential to bring  down the US economy in the next ten years. It is THE reason Wal-Mart and Detroit and the US housing market are on the ropes. Wal-mart is China's biggest customer. If  Wal-Mart fails-China fails. If the US economy fails, the world economy fails. Between 1973 (Roe versus Wade) and 1984 over fourteen million abortions were performed in the USA. While I believe that many of these abortions were severe birth control not population control measures there can be little doubt that without abortions there would be significantly more Generation Xers to buy Wal-Mart's products, Detroit's cars and Boomer's big houses. The fertility rate of  P4170088.JPGUS women dropped from eighty-eight children per one thousand women aged 15-44 in 1970 to sixty-six children in 1975 according to the National Center For Health Statistics, a twenty-five percent drop.

It appears as though the world could reap the consequences of Roe versus Wade .

Posted on Wednesday, August 29, 2007 at 11:43AM by Registered CommenterKenneth W. Gronbach | Comments4 Comments

Reader Comments (4)

What about the increase in immigration during the same period? While not born here, new arrivals would increase the consumer base (skewed at the low end where Wal-Mart excels). Perhaps the connection to RvW is spurious?
August 29, 2007 | Unregistered Commenterellipsis
ellipsis,
Based on the dramatic drop (25%) in fertility right after Roe versus Wade I believe it is safe to say that Roe versus Wade contributed to the reduced size of Generation X. As Generation X entered the work force behind the Boomers, there were nine workers for every ten jobs.The low paying undesirable entry level jobs went begging and this is what sucked in the Latino immigrants like a vacuum. The Latinos however did not become Generation Xers. They are a separate sub-culture and market with marginal incomes and not buyers of new cars, homes or even reliable customers at Wal-Mart. In addition the Latino culture will be displaced out of the entry-level workplace by the huge Generation Y. The economic issue remains the diminutive size of Generation X and Generation X was definitely reduced in size by Roe versus Wade. Spurious? No.
Ken Gronbach
August 31, 2007 | Registered CommenterKenneth W. Gronbach
While I am "pro-choice" there is no question that you're right. Some people see mass Hispanic immigration as the answer, but this may introduce a new set of issues.

First of all, by having a "release valve" the Mexican government is under very little pressure to increase living standards in that country. Next, whether we like it or not, bringing in large numbers of people to preform the jobs of the underclass will have negative political consequences.

At some point, the people "doing the jobs that Americans won't do" are going to get resentful for this. The Hispanic culture does not have the same emphasis on education as say, the Asians, and because of this, social mobility is less likely. Add to this, the prominence of identity politics in this country and there could be major instability in the future.

I've already noticed Hispanic "activists" pushing the oppression narrative. Once their numbers go up, we can expect to see political changes that reflect the current political philosophies and voting habits of the Hispanic leadership. Wealth redistribution, more social programs, and even Latin American or African style "land reform" policies will become reality.

Some may call this "scare mongering" but I don't see how this can't happen?

By the way, I like this blog and will be visiting again.
January 8, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterAlex O
Let me also add something regarding the irony of mass Hispanic immigration. As I pointed out in my last post, the demographic changes we're seeing in the United States will have political consequences. If we want to predict what the country will look like in the future, all we need to do is analyze how Hispanic politicians vote. Anyone who's studied this can tell you, that Hispanics overwhelmingly support higher taxes, more government programs, and more intrusive social programs.

What makes this ironic is the business community is one of, if not the biggest, source of lobbying for mass immigration in this country. What they see as cheap labor today, will most likely end up hurting business in the long run.

Some people say that over one or two generations, Hispanic immigrants will be the same as anyone else. The problem is, this just isn't happening. In fact, there's some data showing increases in the high school drop out rate. In general, high school drop outs do not have the ability to buy many products with high income elasticity.

Ironic, isn't it?

January 8, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterAlex O

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